Plymouth Argyle
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 581 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Plymouth Argyle drew 129 where the draw model expected 158.1 from those particular fixtures — about 29 fewer, or 2.7 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 155.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 16 Mar 2013 → 21 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 25 Feb 2023 → 08 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 04 Jan 2011 → 12 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Apr 2025 → 23 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 18 Apr 1998 → 19 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Feb 2022 → 02 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 11 Mar 2007 → 14 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 22 Oct 1994 → 07 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 18 Oct 2025 → 26 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 19 Feb 1994 → 02 Apr 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 606 | 144 | 23.8% | 6 | 15 |
| League Two | 543 | 140 | 25.8% | 3 | 17 |
| Championship | 368 | 102 | 27.7% | 7 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 263 | 57 | 21.7% | 1 | 4 |
| League Cup | 154 | 33 | 21.4% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 2024 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 16 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 13 |
| 2021 | 57 | 14 | 24.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2018 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2015 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 18 |
| 2012 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 2011 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 15 |
| 2010 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2008 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 13 |
| 2006 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 2005 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2001 | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2000 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 1997 | 51 | 21 | 41.2% | 7 |
| 1996 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 1995 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 1994 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 1993 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 1992 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1988 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1978 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1973 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1905 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1904 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Leyton Orient
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Cambridge United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.