1. FC Nürnberg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 429 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), 1. FC Nürnberg drew 115 where the draw model expected 113.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 25 Jan 2014 → 29 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 25 | 26 Jan 2002 → 20 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 29 Oct 2021 → 13 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 06 Apr 2001 → 22 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 13 Nov 2000 → 03 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Feb 2016 → 15 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 26 Oct 2011 → 03 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Sep 2010 → 05 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 14 Mar 2004 → 07 Aug 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 26 Aug 2017 → 06 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 618 | 163 | 26.4% | 2 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 476 | 128 | 26.9% | 3 | 25 |
| DFB-Pokal | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2015 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | 26 |
| 2013 | 35 | 18 | 51.4% | 7 |
| 2012 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2009 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2006 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2004 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 12 |
| 2003 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 25 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2000 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 7 |
| 1997 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 10 |
| 1996 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1995 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 1994 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 3 |
| 1993 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:30 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 16:30 |
Energie Cottbus
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:30 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.5% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 12:30 |
FC St. Pauli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:00 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.