Motherwell
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 526 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Motherwell drew 112 where the draw model expected 123.3 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 120.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 02 Feb 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 10 Aug 2019 → 22 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 25 Sep 2013 → 18 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 25 Aug 2024 → 14 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 22 Dec 2001 → 19 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 25 Jan 2003 → 26 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 08 Dec 2018 → 24 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Apr 2013 → 14 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 17 Oct 2004 → 27 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 08 Apr 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 1203 | 278 | 23.1% | 4 | 21 |
| Scottish League Cup | 85 | 14 | 16.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 58 | 9 | 15.5% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2024 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 16 |
| 2023 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2021 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | 21 |
| 2018 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 2016 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 27 |
| 2015 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 15 |
| 2012 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2011 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2009 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 12 |
| 2007 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2006 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 13 |
| 2003 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 14 |
| 2002 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2001 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2000 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 1997 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 1995 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1994 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:00 |
Motherwell
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Kilmarnock
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Motherwell
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
St Johnstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Motherwell
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Dundee United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.