Luton Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 585 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Luton Town drew 148 where the draw model expected 157.5 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 156.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 26 Jan 2002 → 06 Apr 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Apr 2007 → 22 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 22 Sep 2001 → 15 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 06 Feb 2016 → 19 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 17 Mar 2014 → 16 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 23 Apr 1996 → 17 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 01 Feb 2022 → 19 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 05 Oct 2019 → 21 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 14 Feb 2015 → 11 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 02 Oct 1993 → 11 Dec 1993 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 513 | 139 | 27.1% | 2 | 15 |
| Championship | 460 | 115 | 25.0% | 5 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 321 | 76 | 23.7% | 0 | 5 |
| League Two | 276 | 74 | 26.8% | 0 | 16 |
| National League | 228 | 64 | 28.1% | 11 | 12 |
| League Cup | 165 | 41 | 24.9% | 2 | 7 |
| Premier League | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2023 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2021 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2020 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 2019 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2018 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2015 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 13 |
| 2014 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 14 |
| 2013 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 53 | 21 | 39.6% | 5 |
| 2010 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2009 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 10 |
| 2007 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2006 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 2005 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2004 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 16 |
| 2001 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2000 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 1998 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 53 | 22 | 41.5% | 5 |
| 1996 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 14 |
| 1995 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 1993 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 13 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1988 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 1987 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1985 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1973 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1964 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1928 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1921 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1892 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1884 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Wycombe Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Luton Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Luton Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Peterborough United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Huddersfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.