What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 434 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), LA Galaxy drew 107 where the draw model expected 106.9 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 109.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 26 May 2024 → 09 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 29 Apr 2019 → 15 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 02 Apr 2023 → 07 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 17 Jun 2015 → 29 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 18 Apr 2021 → 18 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 27 Oct 2016 → 23 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 21 Jun 2022 → 14 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 20 Sep 2020 → 02 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 31 Mar 2018 → 31 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 14 Apr 2013 → 09 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 520 | 129 | 24.8% | 4 | 28 |
| US Open Cup | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 25 |
| 2023 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 14 |
| 2022 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 13 |
| 2020 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2019 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 19 |
| 2018 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2017 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 41 | 18 | 43.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 14 |
| 2014 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2012 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 23:00 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 02:30 |
LA Galaxy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 02:30 |
LA Galaxy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 01:00 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 21:00 |
LA Galaxy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.