Stade Lavallois
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 263 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stade Lavallois drew 83 where the draw model expected 80.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 79.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 18 Feb 2023 → 19 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 04 Dec 2002 → 19 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 28 Apr 2001 → 12 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 03 May 2013 → 24 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 03 Apr 2004 → 23 Aug 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 07 Feb 2025 → 25 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 31 Oct 2025 → 16 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 21 Sep 2004 → 03 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 08 Oct 1997 → 22 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 13 Apr 2024 → 23 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 843 | 266 | 31.6% | 0 | 18 |
| Coupe de France | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 3 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 18 |
| 2022 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2017 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 7 |
| 2015 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 5 |
| 2014 | 39 | 19 | 48.7% | 4 |
| 2013 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 12 |
| 2012 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2010 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 20 | 9 | 45.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2004 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 12 |
| 2003 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 15 |
| 2002 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 15 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 1999 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 1998 | 40 | 17 | 42.5% | 6 |
| 1997 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 1996 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
Pau FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:00 |
Stade Lavallois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:00 |
AS Nancy-Lorraine
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:00 |
Stade Lavallois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:00 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.