Kristiansund BK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 400 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Kristiansund BK drew 101 where the draw model expected 91.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 89.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 19 Jun 2016 → 03 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 16 May 2013 → 01 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 17 Sep 2018 → 14 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 10 Nov 2024 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 30 Sep 2023 → 01 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 08 May 2022 → 17 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 01 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 04 May 2014 → 10 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 Dec 2020 → 20 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 May 2018 → 24 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 277 | 73 | 26.4% | 3 | 13 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 217 | 31 | 14.3% | 2 | 5 |
| 1. divisjon | 172 | 40 | 23.3% | 7 | 15 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 4 |
| 2023 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2022 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2021 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2018 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2017 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 15 |
| 2015 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 10 |
| 2013 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1950 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1949 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1945 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1918 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.