Karlsruher SC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 434 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Karlsruher SC drew 131 where the draw model expected 116.6 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 117.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 30 Oct 2009 → 21 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 10 May 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 02 May 1998 → 01 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 Apr 2015 → 19 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 16 Nov 1998 → 18 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 20 Apr 2019 → 13 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 24 Oct 2012 → 26 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 May 2007 → 06 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 02 Feb 2007 → 29 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 24 Aug 1996 → 05 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 754 | 216 | 28.7% | 2 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 238 | 72 | 30.3% | 4 | 13 |
| 3. Liga | 114 | 33 | 29.0% | 5 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2018 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 34 | 15 | 44.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 13 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 4 |
| 2013 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2011 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2010 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2009 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 2007 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2006 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2004 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2000 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1999 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1998 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 1997 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 4 |
| 1996 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 1995 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 1994 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:30 |
FC St. Pauli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 11:30 |
Karlsruher SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
M'gladbach
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:30 |
Karlsruher SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 12:30 |
VfL Bochum
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.