What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 911 matches (Jan 1925 – Aug 2024), Hereford United drew 223 where the draw model expected 239.2 from those particular fixtures — about 16 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 231.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 23 Jan 2010 → 10 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 27 Jan 2009 → 18 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 15 Jan 1994 → 23 Apr 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 13 Jan 2008 → 15 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 02 Apr 1996 → 27 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 18 Mar 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 18 Aug 2012 → 25 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 19 Apr 2008 → 30 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 03 Jan 2011 → 05 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 21 Oct 2008 → 06 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 406 | 109 | 26.9% | 2 | 24 |
| FA Cup | 247 | 55 | 22.3% | 1 | 6 |
| National League | 134 | 39 | 29.1% | 9 | 9 |
| League Cup | 77 | 12 | 15.6% | 2 | 4 |
| League One | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 2 | 18 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2014 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2013 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 55 | 18 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 25 |
| 2009 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 18 |
| 2008 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2007 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2005 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 4 |
| 1996 | 57 | 11 | 19.3% | 14 |
| 1995 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 7 |
| 1994 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 18 |
| 1993 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 8 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1974 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1957 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1956 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1952 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1949 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
