Hamilton Academical
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 495 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Hamilton Academical drew 120 where the draw model expected 117.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 116.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 28 Sep 2024 → 25 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 29 Nov 2008 → 14 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 Feb 2012 → 28 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 11 Aug 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 08 Nov 2014 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 22 Oct 1994 → 27 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 09 Dec 2017 → 10 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 25 Sep 2007 → 15 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 Feb 1995 → 06 May 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 28 Mar 2018 → 14 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 504 | 131 | 26.0% | 2 | 19 |
| Scottish Premiership | 372 | 88 | 23.7% | 5 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 223 | 58 | 26.0% | 3 | 9 |
| Scottish League Cup | 78 | 16 | 20.5% | 2 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Scottish League Two | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 4 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2019 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 11 |
| 2017 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2011 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2007 | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 12 |
| 2006 | 41 | 19 | 46.3% | 5 |
| 2005 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2004 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2003 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2002 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 8 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 1996 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 11 |
| 1995 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 1994 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 8 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.