Grimsby Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 570 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Grimsby Town drew 142 where the draw model expected 156.5 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 152.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 21 Nov 2006 → 07 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 17 Aug 2024 → 09 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 27 Nov 2018 → 16 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 28 Feb 1996 → 23 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 28 Sep 2021 → 11 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 19 Dec 2014 → 07 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 23 Sep 2000 → 25 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 Mar 2008 → 03 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 05 Nov 2005 → 14 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 31 Mar 2001 → 21 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 690 | 185 | 26.8% | 4 | 23 |
| Championship | 414 | 119 | 28.7% | 0 | 14 |
| National League | 320 | 89 | 27.8% | 0 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 291 | 61 | 21.0% | 4 | 5 |
| League Cup | 164 | 38 | 23.2% | 1 | 6 |
| League One | 92 | 26 | 28.3% | 7 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 9 |
| 2024 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 16 |
| 2023 | 58 | 18 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 8 |
| 2017 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 6 |
| 2015 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 10 |
| 2014 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2013 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2011 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 12 |
| 2007 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 16 |
| 2006 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 2005 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 5 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2001 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2000 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 13 |
| 1999 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 1998 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 1997 | 57 | 16 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 1996 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 15 |
| 1995 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 1994 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 1993 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 6 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1978 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1977 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1907 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1902 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1896 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1890 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1889 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1886 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1885 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1884 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1883 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1882 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Port Vale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Grimsby Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Rochdale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Gillingham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Grimsby Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 15:00 |
Swindon Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.