Greuther Fürth
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 424 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Greuther Fürth drew 116 where the draw model expected 112.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 114.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15 Sep 2013 → 08 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 28 Aug 2021 → 15 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 31 Mar 2013 → 16 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 25 Feb 2007 → 05 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 18 May 2025 → 26 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 04 Apr 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 14 Sep 1997 → 07 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 07 Dec 2024 → 28 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 17 Oct 2020 → 19 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 03 Oct 2016 → 11 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 924 | 267 | 28.9% | 0 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 2 | 14 |
| DFB-Pokal | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 14 |
| 2020 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2018 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2016 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2015 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2014 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 2013 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 14 |
| 2012 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 4 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2010 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2007 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2006 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2005 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2002 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1999 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% | 5 |
| 1998 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 1997 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 11 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:30 |
Hertha BSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:00 |
Greuther Fürth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 12:30 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 12:30 |
Greuther Fürth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 17:30 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.