Fylde
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 243 matches (Nov 2015 – Sep 2026), Fylde drew 61 where the draw model expected 62.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 24 Sep 2024 → 10 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 04 Mar 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 16 Mar 2024 → 17 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 03 Sep 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 21 Dec 2024 → 04 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Apr 2019 → 03 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Oct 2018 → 27 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 07 Oct 2017 → 25 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 09 Nov 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 24 Mar 2018 → 14 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 232 | 59 | 25.4% | 5 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2025 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 10 |
| 2024 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Southend United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Fylde
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Boreham Wood
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.5% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Fylde
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:45 |
Fylde
|
vs | AFC Hornchurch | – / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.