Forest Green Rovers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 565 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Forest Green Rovers drew 147 where the draw model expected 149.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 148.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 Sep 2013 → 28 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 28 Jan 2017 → 17 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 06 Mar 2010 → 17 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 11 Apr 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 02 Mar 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Sep 2023 → 14 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Mar 2012 → 28 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 16 Dec 2017 → 13 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 08 Aug 2015 → 19 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 28 Nov 2015 → 30 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 650 | 191 | 29.4% | 0 | 17 |
| League Two | 266 | 69 | 25.9% | 12 | 12 |
| League One | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 3 | 8 |
| FA Cup | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 1 | 3 |
| League Cup | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 14 |
| 2025 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 12 |
| 2023 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2019 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 15 |
| 2016 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2012 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2011 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2009 | 50 | 20 | 40.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2006 | 45 | 19 | 42.2% | 7 |
| 2005 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2001 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:30 |
Forest Green Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Barrow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Forest Green Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Forest Green Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.