1. FC Köln
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 444 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), 1. FC Köln drew 133 where the draw model expected 106.7 from those particular fixtures — about 26 more, or 2.9 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 112.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 Apr 2005 → 29 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 16 Mar 2003 → 27 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 05 Nov 2018 → 07 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 29 Aug 2008 → 13 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 26 Feb 2011 → 13 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 23 Aug 1997 → 22 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 13 Apr 1996 → 14 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 08 Dec 2019 → 11 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 25 Oct 2013 → 16 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 27 Aug 2011 → 25 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 786 | 207 | 26.3% | 1 | 15 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 340 | 90 | 26.5% | 2 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 104 | 16 | 15.4% | 6 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 4 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 5 |
| 2024 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2022 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2015 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 4 |
| 2014 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2011 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 14 |
| 2010 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2009 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 11 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 16 |
| 2007 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2006 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 11 |
| 2005 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 18 |
| 2004 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2003 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 17 |
| 2002 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2000 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 1999 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 11 |
| 1998 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 14 |
| 1996 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 13 |
| 1995 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 3 |
| 1994 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 10 |
| 1993 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 8 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1985 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1980 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1964 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:30 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:30 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:30 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:30 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Dec |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Apr 2027 | ||||||
| 17 Apr |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.