FC Famalicão
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 266 matches (Aug 2019 – Sep 2026), FC Famalicão drew 80 where the draw model expected 67.0 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 66.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 29 Jan 2023 → 08 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 Dec 2025 → 23 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 Feb 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 28 Aug 2022 → 31 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 Apr 2024 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 30 Apr 2021 → 20 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Dec 2020 → 08 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 03 May 2025 → 16 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 31 Aug 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 18 Oct 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 245 | 77 | 31.4% | 1 | 14 |
| Taça de Portugal | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 17 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 31 | 14 | 45.2% | 3 |
| 2019 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 19:15 |
FC Famalicão
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 | Paredes | vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Rio Ave
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:30 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 20:45 |
FC Famalicão
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.