What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 248 matches (Jan 2010 – May 2016), Évian Thonon Gaillard drew 64 where the draw model expected 69.5 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 69.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 30 Aug 2014 → 07 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 01 Dec 2015 → 05 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 18 Jan 2015 → 21 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Feb 2012 → 21 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 22 Sep 2015 → 20 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 12 Apr 2014 → 16 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 21 Apr 2013 → 31 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 22 Jan 2011 → 07 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 19 Nov 2011 → 21 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 25 Apr 2015 → 23 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 152 | 36 | 23.7% | 5 | 16 |
| Ligue 2 | 76 | 25 | 32.9% | 3 | 9 |
| Coupe de France | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 11 |
| 2014 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 15 |
| 2013 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 5 |
