Everton
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 550 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Everton drew 146 where the draw model expected 137.9 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 137.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 25 Jan 2014 → 11 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 01 Sep 2007 → 04 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 30 Apr 2005 → 15 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 15 Jan 2022 → 09 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 15 Dec 2018 → 26 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 17 Sep 2011 → 10 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 08 Dec 2007 → 23 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 17 Aug 2019 → 29 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 24 Jan 2016 → 03 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 07 Mar 1999 → 16 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1267 | 361 | 28.5% | 1 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 443 | 98 | 22.1% | 0 | 6 |
| League Cup | 201 | 46 | 22.9% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 4 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 1 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 3 | 4 |
| FA Community Shield | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 5 |
| 2023 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 15 |
| 2021 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2018 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2016 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2014 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 19 |
| 2013 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 13 |
| 2010 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 9 |
| 2009 | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 11 |
| 2008 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 17 |
| 2006 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | 16 |
| 2004 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2003 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2002 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 10 |
| 2001 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2000 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 1999 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 1998 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1997 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 1996 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 5 |
| 1995 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 6 |
| 1994 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 4 |
| 1993 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1988 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 1987 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1986 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 1984 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 1983 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1978 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1977 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1974 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1970 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1969 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1968 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1967 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1965 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1964 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1907 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1906 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1905 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1902 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1898 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1897 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1896 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1895 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1892 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1890 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
Hull City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Everton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Arsenal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
| Thu, 29 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Oct 19:45 |
Everton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 20:00 |
Newcastle United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 20:00 |
Everton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Tue, 29 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Dec 20:15 |
Everton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 03 Mar 2027 | ||||||
| 03 Mar 20:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.