☆
· GER · 3. Liga
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
Played
838
Draw %
25.9%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
17
03 May 2013 → 02 Nov 2013
Avg top run
11.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.79
p50
30.0%
p100
24.0%
Draw score
0.207
rank #733
Draws
217
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,476
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,658
reached 28 Nov 2020
Rank
#10,893
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
838
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 402 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Erzgebirge Aue drew 102 where the draw model expected 110.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 109.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
03 May 2013 → 02 Nov 2013
2 15
10 Mar 2006 → 17 Sep 2006
3 14
15 Feb 2025 → 10 May 2025
4 11
28 Jan 2007 → 16 Apr 2007
5 11
03 Oct 2004 → 12 Dec 2004
6 10
22 Aug 2009 → 24 Oct 2009
7 9
26 May 2020 → 19 Sep 2020
8 9
12 Dec 2010 → 28 Feb 2011
9 9
08 Feb 2004 → 04 Apr 2004
10 8
22 Feb 2026 → 07 Apr 2026
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 03 May 2013 → 02 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 10 Mar 2006 → 17 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 15 Feb 2025 → 10 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 28 Jan 2007 → 16 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 03 Oct 2004 → 12 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 22 Aug 2009 → 24 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 26 May 2020 → 19 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 12 Dec 2010 → 28 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 08 Feb 2004 → 04 Apr 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 22 Feb 2026 → 07 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 544 | 140 | 25.7% | 3 | 16 |
| 3. Liga | 228 | 63 | 27.6% | 1 | 14 |
| DFB-Pokal | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Regionalliga Nordost | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2024 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2019 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2015 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2013 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 17 |
| 2012 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2010 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2008 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2007 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 2006 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 15 |
| 2005 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2003 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 28 Nov 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 13 Feb 2027
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
Sat, 20 Feb 2027
☆
GER · Regionalliga Nordost
|
||||||
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 12:00 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 11:00 |
FSV Zwickau
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 12:00 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.6% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 12:00 |
RSV Eintracht 1949
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.6% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 12:00 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Nov 12:00 |
VSG Altglienicke
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Dec 12:00 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 12 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 12 Dec 12:00 |
Berliner FC Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 13 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Feb 12:00 |
BFC Preussen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 20 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Feb 12:00 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.