SV Elversberg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 166 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), SV Elversberg drew 42 where the draw model expected 42.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 44.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 26 Oct 2024 → 25 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 04 May 2025 → 29 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 20 Oct 2023 → 13 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 09 Nov 2013 → 01 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 04 Sep 2013 → 26 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 20 Sep 2025 → 28 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 05 Aug 2023 → 23 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 07 Apr 2012 → 19 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 07 Dec 2011 → 13 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 18 Feb 2024 → 30 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 102 | 25 | 24.5% | 3 | 10 |
| Regionalliga West | 70 | 22 | 31.4% | 7 | 7 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 1 | 8 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 | 5 |
| DFB-Pokal | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 3 |
| Bundesliga | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2016 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2013 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2012 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 12:30 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:30 |
SV Elversberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:30 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
SV Elversberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:30 |
SV Elversberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:30 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
| Wed, 03 Mar 2027 | ||||||
| 03 Mar |
SV Elversberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.