CD Eldense
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 108 matches (Dec 2021 – Sep 2026), CD Eldense drew 29 where the draw model expected 31.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 23 Oct 2024 → 24 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 5 | 17 Jul 2026 → 17 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 07 Jan 2025 → 31 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 24 Mar 2024 → 21 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 16 Feb 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 26 May 2024 → 19 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 19 Feb 2024 → 09 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 28 Oct 2023 → 12 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 23 Sep 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 13 Aug 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 91 | 28 | 30.8% | 3 | 6 |
| Copa del Rey | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2025 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 18:30 |
CD Eldense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:30 |
CD Eldense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 16:30 |
Real Valladolid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 15:15 |
Albacete Balompié
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
CD Eldense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
UD Las Palmas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.