What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 231 matches (Aug 2017 – Nov 2025), Ebbsfleet United drew 68 where the draw model expected 60.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 58.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 10 Oct 2009 → 27 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 17 Dec 2011 → 06 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 04 Oct 2006 → 20 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 15 Apr 2006 → 28 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 05 Aug 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 29 Nov 2008 → 24 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 27 Sep 2008 → 20 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 09 Apr 2007 → 25 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 21 Sep 2019 → 29 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Apr 2019 → 17 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 539 | 145 | 26.9% | 6 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2023 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2018 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2017 | 27 | 12 | 44.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 4 |
| 2012 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 14 |
| 2011 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 11 |
| 2008 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2007 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2006 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 13 |
| 2005 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
