USL Dunkerque
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 207 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), USL Dunkerque drew 48 where the draw model expected 61.6 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 62.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10 Feb 2025 → 25 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 01 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 04 Oct 2024 → 22 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 23 Sep 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 19 Sep 2020 → 21 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 11 Apr 2026 → 25 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 06 Dec 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 16 Aug 2024 → 24 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 30 Oct 2021 → 21 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 01 Dec 2020 → 05 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 189 | 45 | 23.8% | 2 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 13 |
| 2024 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2021 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 6 |
| 2020 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 9 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
USL Dunkerque
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
USL Dunkerque
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 12:00 |
Nantes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:00 |
USL Dunkerque
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:00 |
Rodez AF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:00 |
USL Dunkerque
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.