What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 104 matches (Aug 1994 – Jul 2026), Dordrecht drew 18 where the draw model expected 20.1 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 21.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 19 Nov 1994 → 08 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Sep 2014 → 06 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 15 Feb 2015 → 04 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 10 May 2015 → 27 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 25 Sep 2007 → 26 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 06 Jul 2019 → 18 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 2 | 04 Jul 2026 → 11 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 2 | 06 Jul 2024 → 29 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 2 | 31 Oct 2023 → 19 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 17 Jan 2015 → 24 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 2 | 17 |
| KNVB Cup | 32 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2014 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 1994 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
SC Genemuiden
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.