What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted

W L L W W L W W L W L W L W L W L L W L D L L D L W L L L D

Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 610 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Derby County drew 162 where the draw model expected 168.8 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 163.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›

#	Run	From → To
1	22	30 Jan 2026 → 01 Aug 2026	▸ matches
2	18	03 Nov 2001 → 23 Feb 2002	▸ matches
3	17	01 Aug 1975 → 31 Aug 1976	▸ matches
4	15	12 Apr 2004 → 22 Sep 2004	▸ matches
5	14	16 Dec 2020 → 23 Feb 2021	▸ matches
6	14	16 Oct 2010 → 01 Jan 2011	▸ matches
7	14	05 Mar 2003 → 12 Aug 2003	▸ matches
8	14	22 Sep 1993 → 27 Nov 1993	▸ matches
9	13	23 Apr 2011 → 24 Sep 2011	▸ matches
10	13	03 May 1997 → 15 Oct 1997	▸ matches

By competition (all-time)

Competition	P	D	Draw%	N	Max
Championship	1112	294	26.4%	0	18
FA Cup	359	73	20.3%	1	7
Premier League	266	70	26.3%	6	17
League Cup	194	46	23.7%	1	6
League One	92	21	22.8%	3	10
Club Friendlies	21	2	9.5%	0	5
UEFA Champions League	12	2	16.7%	4	4
UEFA Europa League	10	2	20.0%	4	4
FA Community Shield	1	0	0.0%	1	1

By calendar year

Year	P	D	Draw%	Max
2026	38	4	10.5%	22
2025	54	15	27.8%	10
2024	49	11	22.5%	10
2023	51	10	19.6%	8
2022	53	13	24.5%	12
2021	53	15	28.3%	11
2020	48	13	27.1%	7
2019	52	19	36.5%	8
2018	53	16	30.2%	12
2017	52	14	26.9%	8
2016	54	14	25.9%	8
2015	53	18	34.0%	7
2014	53	11	20.8%	12
2013	49	11	22.5%	8
2012	50	14	28.0%	7
2011	49	11	22.5%	13
2010	50	11	22.0%	13
2009	51	10	19.6%	10
2008	52	15	28.8%	7
2007	44	9	20.5%	7
2006	49	12	24.5%	9
2005	51	20	39.2%	8
2004	49	10	20.4%	15
2003	47	13	27.7%	14
2002	47	6	12.8%	12
2001	41	9	22.0%	10
2000	43	15	34.9%	7
1999	47	9	19.2%	11
1998	42	13	31.0%	9
1997	47	10	21.3%	13
1996	45	18	40.0%	5
1995	50	12	24.0%	8
1994	53	16	30.2%	6
1993	30	4	13.3%	14
1992	7	2	28.6%	2
1991	4	1	25.0%	2
1990	10	5	50.0%	2
1989	7	1	14.3%	4
1988	4	0	0.0%	3
1987	3	1	33.3%	1
1986	11	3	27.3%	4
1985	7	1	14.3%	3
1984	10	2	20.0%	3
1983	5	0	0.0%	3
1982	6	0	0.0%	5
1981	4	1	25.0%	2
1980	3	2	66.7%	1
1979	3	1	33.3%	1
1978	5	0	0.0%	3
1977	8	2	25.0%	3
1976	15	2	13.3%	10
1975	11	1	9.1%	7
1974	12	4	33.3%	4
1973	12	4	33.3%	6
1972	12	4	33.3%	3
1971	5	1	20.0%	3
1970	7	1	14.3%	3
1969	7	2	28.6%	2
1968	11	3	27.3%	3
1967	6	1	16.7%	2
1966	2	0	0.0%	1
1965	5	2	40.0%	1
1964	2	0	0.0%	1
1963	3	0	0.0%	2
1962	5	2	40.0%	2
1961	5	2	40.0%	1
1960	4	0	0.0%	3
1959	2	1	50.0%	1
1958	1	0	0.0%	1
1956	2	0	0.0%	2
1955	4	1	25.0%	2
1954	1	0	0.0%	1
1953	2	1	50.0%	1
1952	2	1	50.0%	1
1951	3	1	33.3%	2
1950	5	1	20.0%	3
1949	4	0	0.0%	4
1948	6	1	16.7%	3
1947	4	1	25.0%	2
1946	11	4	36.4%	7
1939	1	0	0.0%	1
1938	1	0	0.0%	1
1937	3	0	0.0%	3
1936	4	0	0.0%	4
1935	3	0	0.0%	3
1934	4	1	25.0%	3
1933	6	1	16.7%	3
1932	3	0	0.0%	3
1931	1	0	0.0%	1
1930	3	1	33.3%	1
1929	3	1	33.3%	1
1928	3	1	33.3%	1
1927	2	0	0.0%	2
1926	4	2	50.0%	2
1925	1	0	0.0%	1
1924	5	3	60.0%	1
1923	5	0	0.0%	5
1922	1	0	0.0%	1
1921	3	1	33.3%	1
1920	2	1	50.0%	1
1915	1	0	0.0%	1
1914	2	0	0.0%	2
1913	1	0	0.0%	1
1912	2	0	0.0%	2
1911	4	0	0.0%	4
1910	2	0	0.0%	2
1909	7	2	28.6%	4
1908	1	0	0.0%	1
1907	5	2	40.0%	3
1906	3	1	33.3%	1
1905	1	0	0.0%	1
1904	6	2	33.3%	3
1903	5	0	0.0%	5
1902	7	3	42.9%	2
1901	1	0	0.0%	1
1900	2	1	50.0%	1
1899	5	0	0.0%	5
1898	6	1	16.7%	3
1897	4	0	0.0%	4
1896	5	1	20.0%	3
1895	1	0	0.0%	1
1894	4	1	25.0%	2
1893	1	0	0.0%	1
1892	1	0	0.0%	1
1891	2	0	0.0%	2
1890	1	0	0.0%	1
1889	2	0	0.0%	2
1888	1	0	0.0%	1
1887	3	0	0.0%	3
1886	2	0	0.0%	2
1885	3	0	0.0%	3
1884	1	0	0.0%	1

Matches all results ›

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
30 Jan 1937	Derby County	3–0	Brentford	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
16 Jan 1937	Bradford (Park Avenue)	0–4	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
29 Feb 1936	Fulham	3–0	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 6
15 Feb 1936	Bradford City	0–1	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 5
25 Jan 1936	Derby County	2–0	Nottingham Forest	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
11 Jan 1936	Derby County	3–2	Dartford	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
16 Feb 1935	Everton	3–1	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 5
26 Jan 1935	Derby County	3–0	Swansea City	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
12 Jan 1935	York City	0–1	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
17 Feb 1934	Arsenal	1–0	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 5
27 Jan 1934	Derby County	3–0	Wolverhampton Wanderers	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
17 Jan 1934	Derby County	1–0	Bristol City	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
13 Jan 1934	Bristol City	1–1	Derby County	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
18 Mar 1933	Manchester City	3–2	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Semi-final
08 Mar 1933	Sunderland	0–1	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 6
04 Mar 1933	Derby County	4–4	Sunderland	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 6
18 Feb 1933	Derby County	2–0	Aldershot Town	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 5
28 Jan 1933	Southend United	2–3	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
14 Jan 1933	Wolverhampton Wanderers	3–6	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
13 Feb 1932	Manchester City	3–0	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 5
23 Jan 1932	Derby County	3–2	Blackburn Rovers	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
09 Jan 1932	Burnley	0–4	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
10 Jan 1931	Exeter City	3–2	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
29 Jan 1930	Bradford (Park Avenue)	2–1	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
25 Jan 1930	Derby County	1–1	Bradford (Park Avenue)	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
11 Jan 1930	Derby County	5–1	Bristol City	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
31 Jan 1929	Derby County	0–3	Blackburn Rovers	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
26 Jan 1929	Blackburn Rovers	1–1	Derby County	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
12 Jan 1929	Derby County	4–3	Notts County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
01 Feb 1928	Nottingham Forest	2–0	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
28 Jan 1928	Derby County	0–0	Nottingham Forest	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
14 Jan 1928	Millwall	1–2	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
29 Jan 1927	Derby County	0–2	Millwall	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
08 Jan 1927	Bradford City	2–6	Derby County	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
30 Jan 1926	Southend United	4–1	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 4
18 Jan 1926	Derby County	2–0	Portsmouth	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
13 Jan 1926	Portsmouth	1–1	Derby County	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
09 Jan 1926	Derby County	0–0	Portsmouth	D	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
10 Jan 1925	Derby County	0–1	Bradford City	A	ENG · FA Cup Round 1
12 Feb 1924	Newcastle United	5–3	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 2

2,067 matches · page 49 / 52 ‹ prev next ›

Upcoming fixtures opening 1 / X / 2 — draw price highlighted

Date	Home	·	Away	1 / X / 2	Draw · logistic	Tournament
Sat, 10 Oct 2026
10 Oct 14:00	Derby County	vs	Wrexham	– / – / –	29.0%	ENG · Championship
Wed, 14 Oct 2026
14 Oct 18:45	Queens Park Rangers	vs	Derby County	– / – / –	27.8%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
17 Oct 14:00	Derby County	vs	Stoke City	– / – / –	28.3%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
24 Oct 11:30	Sheffield United	vs	Derby County	– / – / –	27.8%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
31 Oct 15:00	Millwall	vs	Derby County	– / – / –	27.0%	ENG · Championship
Tue, 03 Nov 2026
03 Nov 19:45	Derby County	vs	Norwich City	– / – / –	29.0%	ENG · Championship
Fri, 06 Nov 2026
06 Nov 20:00	Derby County	vs	Bolton Wanderers	– / – / –	28.1%	ENG · Championship

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.