What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted

W L L W W L W W L W L W L W L W L L W L D L L D L W L L L D

Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 610 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Derby County drew 162 where the draw model expected 168.8 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 163.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›

#	Run	From → To
1	22	30 Jan 2026 → 01 Aug 2026	▸ matches
2	18	03 Nov 2001 → 23 Feb 2002	▸ matches
3	17	01 Aug 1975 → 31 Aug 1976	▸ matches
4	15	12 Apr 2004 → 22 Sep 2004	▸ matches
5	14	16 Dec 2020 → 23 Feb 2021	▸ matches
6	14	16 Oct 2010 → 01 Jan 2011	▸ matches
7	14	05 Mar 2003 → 12 Aug 2003	▸ matches
8	14	22 Sep 1993 → 27 Nov 1993	▸ matches
9	13	23 Apr 2011 → 24 Sep 2011	▸ matches
10	13	03 May 1997 → 15 Oct 1997	▸ matches

By competition (all-time)

Competition	P	D	Draw%	N	Max
Championship	1112	294	26.4%	0	18
FA Cup	359	73	20.3%	1	7
Premier League	266	70	26.3%	6	17
League Cup	194	46	23.7%	1	6
League One	92	21	22.8%	3	10
Club Friendlies	21	2	9.5%	0	5
UEFA Champions League	12	2	16.7%	4	4
UEFA Europa League	10	2	20.0%	4	4
FA Community Shield	1	0	0.0%	1	1

By calendar year

Year	P	D	Draw%	Max
2026	38	4	10.5%	22
2025	54	15	27.8%	10
2024	49	11	22.5%	10
2023	51	10	19.6%	8
2022	53	13	24.5%	12
2021	53	15	28.3%	11
2020	48	13	27.1%	7
2019	52	19	36.5%	8
2018	53	16	30.2%	12
2017	52	14	26.9%	8
2016	54	14	25.9%	8
2015	53	18	34.0%	7
2014	53	11	20.8%	12
2013	49	11	22.5%	8
2012	50	14	28.0%	7
2011	49	11	22.5%	13
2010	50	11	22.0%	13
2009	51	10	19.6%	10
2008	52	15	28.8%	7
2007	44	9	20.5%	7
2006	49	12	24.5%	9
2005	51	20	39.2%	8
2004	49	10	20.4%	15
2003	47	13	27.7%	14
2002	47	6	12.8%	12
2001	41	9	22.0%	10
2000	43	15	34.9%	7
1999	47	9	19.2%	11
1998	42	13	31.0%	9
1997	47	10	21.3%	13
1996	45	18	40.0%	5
1995	50	12	24.0%	8
1994	53	16	30.2%	6
1993	30	4	13.3%	14
1992	7	2	28.6%	2
1991	4	1	25.0%	2
1990	10	5	50.0%	2
1989	7	1	14.3%	4
1988	4	0	0.0%	3
1987	3	1	33.3%	1
1986	11	3	27.3%	4
1985	7	1	14.3%	3
1984	10	2	20.0%	3
1983	5	0	0.0%	3
1982	6	0	0.0%	5
1981	4	1	25.0%	2
1980	3	2	66.7%	1
1979	3	1	33.3%	1
1978	5	0	0.0%	3
1977	8	2	25.0%	3
1976	15	2	13.3%	10
1975	11	1	9.1%	7
1974	12	4	33.3%	4
1973	12	4	33.3%	6
1972	12	4	33.3%	3
1971	5	1	20.0%	3
1970	7	1	14.3%	3
1969	7	2	28.6%	2
1968	11	3	27.3%	3
1967	6	1	16.7%	2
1966	2	0	0.0%	1
1965	5	2	40.0%	1
1964	2	0	0.0%	1
1963	3	0	0.0%	2
1962	5	2	40.0%	2
1961	5	2	40.0%	1
1960	4	0	0.0%	3
1959	2	1	50.0%	1
1958	1	0	0.0%	1
1956	2	0	0.0%	2
1955	4	1	25.0%	2
1954	1	0	0.0%	1
1953	2	1	50.0%	1
1952	2	1	50.0%	1
1951	3	1	33.3%	2
1950	5	1	20.0%	3
1949	4	0	0.0%	4
1948	6	1	16.7%	3
1947	4	1	25.0%	2
1946	11	4	36.4%	7
1939	1	0	0.0%	1
1938	1	0	0.0%	1
1937	3	0	0.0%	3
1936	4	0	0.0%	4
1935	3	0	0.0%	3
1934	4	1	25.0%	3
1933	6	1	16.7%	3
1932	3	0	0.0%	3
1931	1	0	0.0%	1
1930	3	1	33.3%	1
1929	3	1	33.3%	1
1928	3	1	33.3%	1
1927	2	0	0.0%	2
1926	4	2	50.0%	2
1925	1	0	0.0%	1
1924	5	3	60.0%	1
1923	5	0	0.0%	5
1922	1	0	0.0%	1
1921	3	1	33.3%	1
1920	2	1	50.0%	1
1915	1	0	0.0%	1
1914	2	0	0.0%	2
1913	1	0	0.0%	1
1912	2	0	0.0%	2
1911	4	0	0.0%	4
1910	2	0	0.0%	2
1909	7	2	28.6%	4
1908	1	0	0.0%	1
1907	5	2	40.0%	3
1906	3	1	33.3%	1
1905	1	0	0.0%	1
1904	6	2	33.3%	3
1903	5	0	0.0%	5
1902	7	3	42.9%	2
1901	1	0	0.0%	1
1900	2	1	50.0%	1
1899	5	0	0.0%	5
1898	6	1	16.7%	3
1897	4	0	0.0%	4
1896	5	1	20.0%	3
1895	1	0	0.0%	1
1894	4	1	25.0%	2
1893	1	0	0.0%	1
1892	1	0	0.0%	1
1891	2	0	0.0%	2
1890	1	0	0.0%	1
1889	2	0	0.0%	2
1888	1	0	0.0%	1
1887	3	0	0.0%	3
1886	2	0	0.0%	2
1885	3	0	0.0%	3
1884	1	0	0.0%	1

Matches all results ›

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
11 Feb 1995	Reading	1–0	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
04 Feb 1995	Derby County	2–3	Sheffield United	A	ENG · Championship
22 Jan 1995	Derby County	3–0	Portsmouth	H	ENG · Championship
14 Jan 1995	Charlton Athletic	3–4	Derby County	A	ENG · Championship
07 Jan 1995	Everton	1–0	Derby County	H	ENG · FA Cup Round 3
02 Jan 1995	Derby County	1–1	West Bromwich Albion	D	ENG · Championship
31 Dec 1994	Sunderland	1–1	Derby County	D	ENG · Championship
26 Dec 1994	Tranmere Rovers	3–1	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
17 Dec 1994	Derby County	1–0	Barnsley	H	ENG · Championship
11 Dec 1994	Luton Town	0–0	Derby County	D	ENG · Championship
03 Dec 1994	Derby County	0–0	Notts County	D	ENG · Championship
30 Nov 1994	Swindon Town	2–1	Derby County	H	ENG · League Cup Round 4
27 Nov 1994	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0–2	Derby County	A	ENG · Championship
19 Nov 1994	Derby County	2–0	Port Vale	H	ENG · Championship
12 Nov 1994	Sheffield United	2–1	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
06 Nov 1994	Portsmouth	0–1	Derby County	A	ENG · Championship
02 Nov 1994	Derby County	1–2	Reading	A	ENG · Championship
29 Oct 1994	Derby County	2–2	Charlton Athletic	D	ENG · Championship
26 Oct 1994	Portsmouth	0–1	Derby County	A	ENG · League Cup Round 3
23 Oct 1994	Notts County	0–0	Derby County	D	ENG · Championship
16 Oct 1994	Southend United	1–0	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
08 Oct 1994	Derby County	1–1	Watford	D	ENG · Championship
01 Oct 1994	Bolton Wanderers	1–0	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
28 Sep 1994	Derby County	2–0	Reading	H	ENG · League Cup Round 2 · Leg 2
25 Sep 1994	Derby County	3–0	Stoke City	H	ENG · Championship
20 Sep 1994	Reading	3–1	Derby County	H	ENG · League Cup Round 2 · Leg 1
17 Sep 1994	Derby County	2–1	Oldham Athletic	H	ENG · Championship
13 Sep 1994	Bristol City	0–2	Derby County	A	ENG · Championship
11 Sep 1994	Swindon Town	1–1	Derby County	D	ENG · Championship
03 Sep 1994	Derby County	2–1	Grimsby Town	H	ENG · Championship
31 Aug 1994	Derby County	0–1	Middlesbrough	A	ENG · Championship
27 Aug 1994	Millwall	4–1	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
20 Aug 1994	Derby County	0–0	Luton Town	D	ENG · Championship
13 Aug 1994	Barnsley	2–1	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
08 May 1994	Southend United	4–3	Derby County	H	ENG · Championship
30 Apr 1994	Derby County	2–1	Oxford United	H	ENG · Championship
27 Apr 1994	Derby County	0–2	Nottingham Forest	A	ENG · Championship
23 Apr 1994	Grimsby Town	1–1	Derby County	D	ENG · Championship
21 Apr 1994	Derby County	1–1	Notts County	D	ENG · Championship
20 Apr 1994	Derby County	2–0	Charlton Athletic	H	ENG · Championship

2,067 matches · page 40 / 52 ‹ prev next ›

Upcoming fixtures opening 1 / X / 2 — draw price highlighted

Date	Home	·	Away	1 / X / 2	Draw · logistic	Tournament
Sat, 10 Oct 2026
10 Oct 14:00	Derby County	vs	Wrexham	– / – / –	29.0%	ENG · Championship
Wed, 14 Oct 2026
14 Oct 18:45	Queens Park Rangers	vs	Derby County	– / – / –	27.8%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
17 Oct 14:00	Derby County	vs	Stoke City	– / – / –	28.3%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
24 Oct 11:30	Sheffield United	vs	Derby County	– / – / –	27.8%	ENG · Championship
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
31 Oct 15:00	Millwall	vs	Derby County	– / – / –	27.0%	ENG · Championship
Tue, 03 Nov 2026
03 Nov 19:45	Derby County	vs	Norwich City	– / – / –	29.0%	ENG · Championship
Fri, 06 Nov 2026
06 Nov 20:00	Derby County	vs	Bolton Wanderers	– / – / –	28.1%	ENG · Championship

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.