What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 135 matches (Aug 1999 – Jan 2026), Den Bosch drew 27 where the draw model expected 26.6 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 28 Nov 2004 → 17 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 02 Mar 2002 → 05 May 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 Nov 2001 → 08 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 03 Oct 2004 → 14 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 26 Sep 1999 → 24 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 12 Dec 1999 → 09 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 01 May 2005 → 22 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 07 Nov 1999 → 01 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 27 Sep 2007 → 16 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 27 Aug 2004 → 19 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 102 | 24 | 23.5% | 4 | 16 |
| KNVB Cup | 31 | 2 | 6.5% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 12 |
| 2004 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2002 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 10 |
| 2001 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2000 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 1999 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.