What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 20 Oct 2021 → 10 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Apr 2012 → 11 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 11 Jun 2014 → 31 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 13 Jun 2017 → 29 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 17 Apr 2021 → 19 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 24 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 19 Sep 2015 → 06 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 30 Jun 2015 → 30 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 30 Sep 2026 → 31 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 04 Aug 2019 → 22 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 510 | 130 | 25.5% | 7 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 11 |
| 2021 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2018 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 10 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 15 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 428 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), D.C. United drew 115 where the draw model expected 107.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.