FK Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade)
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 358 matches (Nov 1956 – Jul 2026), FK Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) drew 74 where the draw model expected 75.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 77.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 172 | 44 | 25.6% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 133 | 21 | 15.8% | 8 | 10 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 0 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2021 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2004 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2002 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1978 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Lugano
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.6% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
FK Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade)
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
FK Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade)
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.