Crawley Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 571 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Crawley Town drew 135 where the draw model expected 154.1 from those particular fixtures — about 19 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 154.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 28 Oct 2023 → 10 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 09 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 13 Aug 2011 → 25 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 21 Nov 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 Mar 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 02 Sep 2006 → 04 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 08 Mar 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 28 Mar 2016 → 09 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 12 Sep 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 Nov 2016 → 04 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 504 | 129 | 25.6% | 3 | 15 |
| National League | 270 | 67 | 24.8% | 0 | 13 |
| League One | 184 | 50 | 27.2% | 3 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 12 |
| 2021 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2020 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2019 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 12 |
| 2014 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 13 |
| 2013 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2011 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 15 |
| 2010 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2007 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2006 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2005 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Crawley Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Salford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Crawley Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Crawley Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Oldham Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.