What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 435 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Clermont Foot drew 135 where the draw model expected 129.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 130.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12 Dec 2025 → 20 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 04 Dec 2002 → 08 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 May 2022 → 04 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 16 Jan 2021 → 20 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 20 Mar 2009 → 22 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 03 Feb 2006 → 07 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 15 Feb 2008 → 11 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 05 Mar 2023 → 30 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Aug 2017 → 14 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 14 May 2023 → 27 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 749 | 251 | 33.5% | 0 | 12 |
| Ligue 1 | 110 | 27 | 24.6% | 5 | 10 |
| Coupe de France | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 11 |
| 2025 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2021 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2017 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2014 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 17 | 46.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2010 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2008 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 4 |
| 2006 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 10 |
| 2005 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 4 |
| 2003 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
| 2002 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 13:00 |
AJ Auxerre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 12:00 |
Clermont Foot
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:00 |
Stade Lavallois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:00 |
Clermont Foot
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:00 |
Nantes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 13:00 |
Clermont Foot
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.