What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 432 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), AS Cittadella drew 123 where the draw model expected 132.3 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 135.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 03 Mar 2020 → 04 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 10 Apr 2010 → 11 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 08 Apr 2017 → 03 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 29 Oct 2016 → 28 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 27 Aug 2016 → 21 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 09 Sep 2001 → 21 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 18 Jan 2025 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 Jan 2024 → 03 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 14 Aug 2021 → 02 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 718 | 227 | 31.6% | 2 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Serie C | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2025 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 15 |
| 2019 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 12 |
| 2016 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 2015 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2012 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2011 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 14 |
| 2009 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 7 |
| 2008 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2000 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 3 |
