Charlotte
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 183 matches (Feb 2022 – Sep 2026), Charlotte drew 41 where the draw model expected 47.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 46.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 Jul 2025 → 28 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 23 Apr 2023 → 04 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 24 Jul 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 01 Mar 2025 → 04 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 21 Mar 2026 → 03 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 01 May 2022 → 11 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 26 Feb 2022 → 17 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 07 Apr 2024 → 16 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 25 May 2025 → 29 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 09 Oct 2022 → 18 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 172 | 37 | 21.5% | 4 | 19 |
| US Open Cup | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 14 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 12 |
| 2022 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Charlotte
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
Columbus Crew
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:30 |
Philadelphia Union
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 02:30 |
Portland Timbers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 23:30 |
Charlotte
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:00 |
Charlotte
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.