Cesena
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 417 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Cesena drew 127 where the draw model expected 124.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 20 Jan 2024 → 15 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 30 Oct 2011 → 29 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 03 May 2015 → 22 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 17 Apr 2011 → 24 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Jan 2007 → 17 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 05 Jun 2005 → 10 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Mar 2014 → 25 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 27 Dec 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 30 Sep 2025 → 28 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 11 Aug 2023 → 09 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 577 | 205 | 35.5% | 0 | 11 |
| Serie C | 168 | 45 | 26.8% | 1 | 15 |
| Serie A | 114 | 32 | 28.1% | 5 | 12 |
| Coppa Italia | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2024 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2018 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2017 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 11 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 5 |
| 2011 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2010 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2008 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2006 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 8 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2004 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 22 | 12 | 54.6% | 5 |
| 1999 | 39 | 19 | 48.7% | 4 |
| 1998 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Benevento Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:15 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:00 |
Modena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:00 |
FC Südtirol
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:00 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.