Burton Albion
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 595 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Burton Albion drew 150 where the draw model expected 162.0 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 157.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 18 Apr 2015 → 26 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Dec 2020 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 03 Dec 2016 → 18 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 09 Oct 2021 → 01 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 10 Apr 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 13 Oct 2008 → 17 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 27 Aug 2014 → 25 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 27 Oct 2018 → 26 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 Apr 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 17 Dec 2022 → 18 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 411 | 110 | 26.8% | 1 | 16 |
| League Two | 276 | 73 | 26.5% | 3 | 12 |
| National League | 180 | 40 | 22.2% | 6 | 14 |
| Championship | 92 | 24 | 26.1% | 5 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 73 | 15 | 20.5% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 9 |
| 2021 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2020 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 14 |
| 2017 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 18 |
| 2014 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 13 |
| 2013 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2011 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 10 |
| 2010 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2009 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 2008 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2007 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2006 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2005 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
3.79 3.64 1.85 | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Peterborough United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Burton Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wycombe Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.