Burgos CF
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 234 matches (Aug 2016 – Sep 2026), Burgos CF drew 64 where the draw model expected 72.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 69.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 21 Oct 2021 → 17 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 19 Aug 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 19 Jan 2025 → 21 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Jan 2024 → 10 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 27 Oct 2024 → 08 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 08 Jan 2022 → 05 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 08 Oct 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 03 Jan 2026 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 28 Oct 2001 → 25 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 25 Aug 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 259 | 76 | 29.3% | 3 | 11 |
| Copa del Rey | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 11 |
| 2022 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:15 |
UD Almería
|
vs |
|
1.59 3.71 5.18 | 29.7% |
|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 14:15 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 19:00 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 19:30 |
Andorra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.