Boreham Wood
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 489 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Boreham Wood drew 150 where the draw model expected 131.7 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 123.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 25 Oct 2025 → 11 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 24 Apr 2021 → 30 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 02 Apr 2018 → 04 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 05 Apr 2016 → 09 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 09 Mar 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 21 Mar 2017 → 29 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Nov 2020 → 09 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Sep 2019 → 26 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 13 Aug 2019 → 07 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 Sep 2018 → 27 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 457 | 142 | 31.1% | 4 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2024 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 10 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Boreham Wood
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:45 |
Sutton United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Boreham Wood
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.5% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Woking
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Boreham Wood
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.