Birmingham City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 606 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Birmingham City drew 169 where the draw model expected 166.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 162.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 04 Dec 2004 → 20 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 06 Oct 1993 → 01 Jan 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 17 Aug 2019 → 09 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 01 Feb 2003 → 03 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 11 Dec 1999 → 19 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 13 Aug 2024 → 22 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 28 Apr 2001 → 23 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 26 Dec 2000 → 20 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Feb 1997 → 16 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Apr 2025 → 02 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1112 | 318 | 28.6% | 0 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 341 | 76 | 22.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Premier League | 266 | 82 | 30.8% | 3 | 15 |
| League Cup | 214 | 43 | 20.1% | 2 | 7 |
| League One | 92 | 23 | 25.0% | 5 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 0 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2025 | 58 | 12 | 20.7% | 10 |
| 2024 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2023 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 6 |
| 2019 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 14 |
| 2018 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2014 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2013 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 56 | 20 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2011 | 58 | 13 | 22.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2007 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 9 |
| 2005 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2004 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 13 |
| 2002 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2000 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1999 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 9 |
| 1998 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 1997 | 56 | 15 | 26.8% | 11 |
| 1996 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 7 |
| 1995 | 57 | 20 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 1994 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 8 |
| 1993 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 15 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1990 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1975 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1972 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1969 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1968 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1962 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1961 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1956 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1955 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1946 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1899 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1892 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1890 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1889 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1885 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1884 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1882 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1881 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
West Bromwich Albion
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Birmingham City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Birmingham City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Cardiff City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Lincoln City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
Birmingham City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Birmingham City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.