What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 145 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Belgium drew 26 where the draw model expected 27.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 31 May 2009 → 08 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 19 Nov 1980 → 19 Jun 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 06 Jun 2021 → 13 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 15 Nov 2018 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 06 Jun 2018 → 12 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 28 Mar 2015 → 28 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 29 Mar 1931 → 12 Jun 1932 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 05 Jun 2016 → 10 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 26 May 2014 → 10 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 22 Apr 1992 → 13 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 460 | 103 | 22.4% | 2 | 11 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 149 | 30 | 20.1% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 122 | 28 | 23.0% | 1 | 10 |
| FIFA World Cup | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Nations League | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA European Championship | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 1 | 5 |
| Olympic Games | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Kirin Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Allied Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| King Hassan II Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Cyprus International Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Évence Coppée Trophy | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2021 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 12 |
| 2020 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 2017 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 2015 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2012 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2011 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 2010 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2009 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2004 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2001 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 1998 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% | 2 |
| 1997 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1995 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1991 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1990 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 1989 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1986 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1981 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1980 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1979 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1978 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1971 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1970 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1967 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1966 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1964 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1960 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1959 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1957 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1956 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1955 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1954 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1953 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1952 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1951 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1950 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1949 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1948 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1947 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1946 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1938 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1936 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1935 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1932 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1931 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1930 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1929 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1928 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1927 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1926 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1925 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1923 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1919 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1914 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1912 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1910 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1907 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1906 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1905 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1904 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 18:45 | France | vs | Belgium | – / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Thu, 12 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Nov 17:00 | Turkey | vs | Belgium | – / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.