What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 142 matches (May 1976 – Sep 2026), Al Ittihad drew 32 where the draw model expected 27.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 31 Oct 2023 → 28 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 01 Apr 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 17 Apr 2009 → 15 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 11 Apr 1982 → 07 May 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 20 Dec 2021 → 07 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 07 Jan 2018 → 01 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Mar 2015 → 31 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 23 Apr 2008 → 14 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 21 Mar 1984 → 13 Apr 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 15 Apr 1981 → 08 May 1981 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Cup | 128 | 31 | 24.2% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Saudi Pro League | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:00 |
Al-Hilal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:00 |
Al Ittihad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:00 |
Al Ettifaq
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 15:30 |
Al Ittihad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 13:45 |
Abha
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Al Ittihad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.