What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Over 139 matches (May 1976 – Oct 2026), Al Nassr drew 24 where the draw model expected 27.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 21 Dec 2022 → 20 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 5 | 28 Jul 2026 → 09 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 30 Jul 2025 → 28 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 27 Oct 2020 → 04 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 23 Apr 2012 → 18 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 09 Nov 2019 → 17 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 03 Jan 2019 → 01 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 20 Jan 2016 → 30 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 23 Feb 1987 → 13 Mar 1987 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 06 Jan 1986 → 17 Jan 1986 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Cup | 114 | 19 | 16.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 3 | 4 |
| Saudi Pro League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
|
|||||
| ☆ 09 Oct 2026 |
Al Nassr
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 12 Sep 2026 |
Al Khaleej
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 09 Sep 2026 |
Al Nassr
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 05 Sep 2026 |
Al Ittihad
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 04 Aug 2026 |
Al Nassr
|
0–2 |
|
A | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 01 Aug 2026 |
CF Estrela da Amadora
|
4–2 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 28 Jul 2026 |
Al Nassr
|
2–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 28 Oct 2025 |
Al Nassr
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 23 Sep 2025 | Jeddah | 0–4 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 10 Aug 2025 |
UD Almería
|
3–2 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 07 Aug 2025 |
Al Nassr
|
4–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 30 Jul 2025 |
Al Nassr
|
2–1 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 29 Oct 2024 |
Al Nassr
|
0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 23 Sep 2024 |
Al Hazem
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 30 Jul 2024 |
Al Nassr
|
0–0 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | D | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 28 Jul 2024 |
Porto
|
4–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 24 Jul 2024 |
Portimonense SC
|
1–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 20 Jul 2024 |
SC Farense
|
1–1 |
|
D | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 19 Jul 2024 |
CS Marítimo
|
0–1 |
|
A | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 31 May 2024 |
Al-Hilal
|
5–4(ft:1–1) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 01 May 2024 |
Al Nassr
|
3–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 01 Feb 2024 |
Al Nassr
|
6–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 11 Dec 2023 |
Al Shabab
|
2–5 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 31 Oct 2023 |
Al Nassr
|
1–0(ft:0–0) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 25 Sep 2023 | Ohod | 1–5 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 27 Jul 2023 |
Inter Milan
|
1–1 |
|
D | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 25 Jul 2023 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
0–0 |
|
D | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 20 Jul 2023 |
SL Benfica
|
4–1 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 17 Jul 2023 |
Celta Vigo
|
5–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 14 Jul 2023 |
Al Nassr
|
5–1 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 10 Jul 2023 |
Alverca
|
0–2 |
|
A | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 24 Apr 2023 |
Al Nassr
|
0–1 | Al Wehda | A | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 14 Mar 2023 |
Al Nassr
|
3–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 21 Dec 2022 |
Al Nassr
|
2–0 | Al Adalah | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 21 Feb 2022 |
Al Nassr
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 21 Dec 2021 |
Al Nassr
|
1–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 04 Apr 2021 |
Al Nassr
|
0–1 | Al-Faisaly | A | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 16 Mar 2021 |
Al Nassr
|
3–0 | Al-Ain | H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 16 Dec 2020 |
Al Nassr
|
2–0 | Al Raed | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 28 Nov 2020 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Oct 18:00 |
Al-Ahli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Oct 18:00 |
Al Nassr
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 13:30 | Al-Faisaly | vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Thu, 29 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Oct 18:00 |
Al Nassr
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
Al Hazem
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 20:00 |
Al Nassr
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.