What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 16 Oct 2026.
Over 149 matches (May 1976 – Oct 2026), Al-Hilal drew 38 where the draw model expected 28.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 08 May 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 20 Dec 2021 → 03 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 18 Jan 2017 → 18 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 21 Mar 1984 → 06 May 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 15 Apr 1981 → 14 May 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 04 Jul 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 03 Nov 2019 → 17 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 10 Mar 2015 → 31 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 12 Apr 1980 → 25 Apr 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 25 Sep 2023 → 11 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Cup | 130 | 33 | 25.4% | 1 | 5 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Saudi Pro League | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2022 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Club World Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
|
|||||
| ☆ 10 Oct 2026 |
Al-Hilal
|
3–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 12 Sep 2026 |
Al Taawoun
|
0–6 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 07 Sep 2026 |
Al-Hilal
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Sep 2026 |
Al Shabab
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 01 Sep 2026 |
Al-Hilal
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 08 May 2026 |
Al Kholood
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 18 Mar 2026 |
Al-Ahli
|
2–4(ft:1–1) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 29 Nov 2025 |
Al-Hilal
|
4–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 28 Oct 2025 | Al Okhdood | 0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 22 Sep 2025 | Al Adalah | 0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 04 Jul 2025 |
Fluminense
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 30 Jun 2025 |
Manchester City
|
3–4(ft:2–2) |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 26 Jun 2025 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 22 Jun 2025 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 18 Jun 2025 |
Real Madrid
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 07 Jan 2025 |
Al-Hilal
|
1–3(ft:2–2) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 29 Oct 2024 | Al Tai | 1–4 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 24 Sep 2024 | Al Bukayriyah | 0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 31 May 2024 |
Al-Hilal
|
5–4(ft:1–1) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 30 Apr 2024 |
Al Ittihad
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 11 Dec 2023 |
Al-Hilal
|
3–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 30 Oct 2023 |
Al-Hilal
|
3–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 25 Sep 2023 | Al Jabalain | 0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 12 May 2023 |
Al-Hilal
|
7–6(ft:1–1) | Al Wehda | D | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 23 Apr 2023 |
Al Ittihad
|
0–1(ft:0–0) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 14 Mar 2023 |
Al-Hilal
|
3–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 11 Feb 2023 |
Real Madrid
|
5–3 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 07 Feb 2023 |
Flamengo (RJ)
|
2–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 04 Feb 2023 | Wydad Casablanca | 3–5(ft:1–1) |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 21 Dec 2022 |
Al-Hilal
|
4–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 19 May 2022 |
Al Fayha
|
3–1(ft:1–1) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 03 Apr 2022 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 21 Feb 2022 |
Al Nassr
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 12 Feb 2022 |
Al-Hilal
|
0–4 | Al Ahly | A |
|
| ☆ 09 Feb 2022 |
Al-Hilal
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Feb 2022 |
Al-Hilal
|
6–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 20 Dec 2021 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–0 | Al Raed | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 17 Dec 2020 |
Al-Hilal
|
0–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 28 Nov 2020 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 27 Oct 2020 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Oct 15:00 |
Al Riyadh
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Oct 18:00 |
Al-Hilal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.1% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 18:00 |
Al Qadsiah
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 18:00 |
Al-Hilal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
Al Ettifaq
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 20:00 |
Al-Hilal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.