Al-Ahli
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 17 Oct 2026.
Over 111 matches (May 1976 – Oct 2026), Al-Ahli drew 18 where the draw model expected 21.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 21.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 26 Aug 2026 → 09 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 29 Mar 2014 → 01 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 20 Jan 2017 → 18 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 04 May 2013 → 28 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 21 Mar 1984 → 06 May 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 14 Apr 1983 → 13 May 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 09 May 1979 → 08 Jun 1979 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 05 May 1977 → 27 May 1977 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 06 May 1976 → 04 Jun 1976 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 05 Nov 2019 → 18 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Cup | 104 | 18 | 17.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Saudi Pro League | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA Intercontinental Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2012 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· KSA · Saudi Pro League
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· KSA · Saudi Pro League
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· KSA · Saudi Pro League
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· KSA · Saudi Pro League
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· KSA · Saudi Pro League
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· ITL · FIFA Intercontinental Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
☆
· ITL · FIFA Intercontinental Cup
☆
· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
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· KSA · King's Cup
|
|||||
| ☆ 09 Oct 2026 |
Al Fateh
|
0–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 11 Sep 2026 |
Al-Ahli
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 08 Sep 2026 |
Al Qadsiah
|
3–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 04 Sep 2026 |
Al-Ahli
|
5–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 01 Sep 2026 |
Al-Hilal
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 26 Aug 2026 |
Al-Ahli
|
1–0 |
|
H | ITL · FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| ☆ 18 Mar 2026 |
Al-Ahli
|
2–4(ft:1–1) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 28 Nov 2025 |
Al-Ahli
|
5–4(ft:3–3) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 27 Oct 2025 | Al Batin | 0–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 23 Sep 2025 |
Al-Ahli
|
1–3 |
|
A | ITL · FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| ☆ 31 Aug 2025 | Al Arabi | 0–5 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 23 Sep 2024 |
Al-Ahli
|
1–2 | Al Jandal | A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 31 Oct 2023 |
Al-Ahli
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 26 Sep 2023 | Al-Ain | 2–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 21 Feb 2022 |
Al Shabab
|
2–1 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 21 Dec 2021 |
Al-Ahli
|
2–1 | Al-Faisaly | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 17 Dec 2020 |
Al-Ahli
|
0–2 | Al-Ain | A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 27 Oct 2020 |
Al-Ahli
|
1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 18 Jan 2020 | Al Wehda | 1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 02 Jan 2020 |
Al Fayha
|
0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 06 Dec 2019 | Al Nojoom | 1–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 05 Nov 2019 |
Al-Ahli
|
4–1 | Al Jandal | H | KSA · King's Cup |
| ☆ 23 Jan 2019 |
Al-Ahli
|
1–3(ft:1–1) | Al Wehda | D | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 18 Jan 2019 | Al Nojoom | 0–1 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 05 Jan 2019 |
Al-Ahli
|
4–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup |
| ☆ 30 Mar 2018 | Al-Faisaly | 1–0 |
|
H | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 24 Feb 2018 |
Al Fayha
|
3–4(ft:2–2) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 21 Jan 2018 |
Al-Ahli
|
6–0 | Al Orobah | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 06 Jan 2018 | Al Shoulla | 0–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 18 May 2017 |
Al-Ahli
|
2–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 12 May 2017 | Al-Faisaly | 0–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 02 Apr 2017 |
Al-Ahli
|
6–0 | Wej | H | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 13 Feb 2017 |
Al Qadsiah
|
1–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 20 Jan 2017 |
Al-Ahli
|
2–1 | Al Shoulla | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 29 May 2016 |
Al-Ahli
|
2–1(ft:a.e.t. 2–1, level at 90') |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Final |
| ☆ 29 Apr 2016 |
Al-Hilal
|
2–3(ft:a.e.t. 2–3, level at 90') |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Semi-final |
| ☆ 12 Apr 2016 | Al Raed | 1–3 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Quarter-final |
| ☆ 01 Feb 2016 | Damac | 1–2 |
|
A | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| ☆ 21 Jan 2016 |
Al-Ahli
|
3–0 | Al Tai | H | KSA · King's Cup Round of 32 |
| ☆ 14 Apr 2015 |
Al Qadsiah
|
4–2(ft:1–1) |
|
D | KSA · King's Cup Round of 16 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 19 Oct 15:05 |
Al Fayha
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 18:00 |
Al-Ahli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 30 Oct 18:00 |
Al Shabab
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
Al-Ahli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 20:00 |
Al-Ahli
|
vs | Al-Faisaly | – / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 26 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Nov 20:00 |
Al Ittihad
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.