Accrington Stanley
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 578 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Accrington Stanley drew 155 where the draw model expected 157.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Mar 2007 → 19 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 12 Jan 2008 → 09 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 04 Apr 2009 → 25 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 21 Nov 2017 → 13 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 14 Mar 2023 → 05 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 01 Dec 2009 → 09 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 03 Sep 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 10 Nov 2018 → 05 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 12 Sep 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 12 Sep 2020 → 17 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 698 | 175 | 25.1% | 0 | 26 |
| League One | 219 | 57 | 26.0% | 12 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 164 | 34 | 20.7% | 0 | 4 |
| National League | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 4 | 10 |
| League Cup | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 13 |
| 2022 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 11 |
| 2021 | 57 | 15 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2015 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 11 |
| 2014 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2009 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 17 |
| 2008 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 22 |
| 2007 | 47 | 5 | 10.6% | 23 |
| 2006 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 10 |
| 2005 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1892 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1891 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1890 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1889 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1886 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1882 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1881 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Accrington Stanley
|
vs |
|
2.26 3.46 2.88 | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Oldham Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Accrington Stanley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
York City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Rochdale
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Accrington Stanley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.