Austria Lustenau
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 108 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Austria Lustenau drew 26 where the draw model expected 24.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 12 Nov 2022 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 29 Oct 2023 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 19 Aug 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 19 Apr 2011 → 25 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 28 Aug 2026 → 24 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 04 Jul 2026 → 25 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 26 Jul 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 18 Sep 2022 → 15 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 14 Aug 2022 → 30 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 03 Apr 2001 → 18 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austrian Cup | 109 | 19 | 17.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Bundesliga | 74 | 22 | 29.7% | 3 | 11 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2023 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2022 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 13:00 |
Austria Lustenau
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.