▦ FDB4
No-draw streak ‹ back to records
SCO · Club

Celtic

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.
34
non-draws in a row
20 Feb 2010 → 14 Nov 2010
Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›
Draws the model expected 7.4 across these 34 fixtures, one chance each
A flat league rate expected 8.3 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures
Chance of no draw at all 1 in 4,700 for this run alone — and that overstates it
Runs this long, expected anywhere 16.23 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.05× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
the draw before the run
13 Feb 2010 Aberdeen 4–4 Celtic D SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 20 Feb 2010 Celtic 1–0 Dundee United H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 28 Feb 2010 Rangers 1–0 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 07 Mar 2010 Falkirk 0–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 13 Mar 2010 Kilmarnock 0–3 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Cup
☆ 20 Mar 2010 Celtic 3–0 St Johnstone H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 24 Mar 2010 St Mirren 4–0 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 27 Mar 2010 Celtic 3–1 Kilmarnock H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 04 Apr 2010 Hibernian 0–1 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 10 Apr 2010 Celtic 0–2 Ross County A SCO · Scottish Cup Semi-final
☆ 13 Apr 2010 Celtic 2–1 Motherwell H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 17 Apr 2010 Celtic 3–2 Hibernian H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 25 Apr 2010 Dundee United 0–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 01 May 2010 Celtic 4–0 Motherwell H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 04 May 2010 Celtic 2–1 Rangers H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 09 May 2010 Heart of Midlothian 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 28 Jul 2010 SC Braga 3–0 Celtic H ITL · UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Leg 1
☆ 04 Aug 2010 Celtic 2–1 SC Braga H ITL · UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Leg 2
☆ 14 Aug 2010 Inverness Caledonian Thistle 0–1 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 22 Aug 2010 Celtic 4–0 St Mirren H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 29 Aug 2010 Motherwell 0–1 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 11 Sep 2010 Celtic 3–0 Heart of Midlothian H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 19 Sep 2010 Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 20 Sep 2010 Celtic 2–0 Utrecht H ITL · UEFA Europa League Play-off
☆ 22 Sep 2010 Celtic 6–0 Inverness Caledonian Thistle H SCO · Scottish League Cup
☆ 25 Sep 2010 Celtic 2–1 Hibernian H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 02 Oct 2010 Celtic 3–1 Hamilton Academical H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 04 Oct 2010 Utrecht 4–0 Celtic H ITL · UEFA Europa League Play-off
☆ 17 Oct 2010 Dundee United 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 24 Oct 2010 Celtic 1–3 Rangers A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 27 Oct 2010 St Johnstone 2–3 Celtic A SCO · Scottish League Cup Quarter-final
☆ 30 Oct 2010 St Johnstone 0–3 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 06 Nov 2010 Celtic 9–0 Aberdeen H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 10 Nov 2010 Heart of Midlothian 2–0 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 14 Nov 2010 St Mirren 0–1 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
the draw that ended it
20 Nov 2010 Celtic 1–1 Dundee United D SCO · Scottish Premiership

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