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No-draw streak ‹ back to records
NED · Club

PSV Eindhoven

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.
36
non-draws in a row
01 Dec 2013 → 20 Oct 2014
Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›
Draws the model expected 7.6 across these 36 fixtures, one chance each
A flat league rate expected 8.8 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures
Chance of no draw at all 1 in 5,310 for this run alone — and that overstates it
Runs this long, expected anywhere 9.97 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.03× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
the draw before the run
23 Nov 2013 PSV Eindhoven 1–1 SC Heerenveen D NED · Eredivisie
☆ 01 Dec 2013 Feyenoord 3–1 PSV Eindhoven H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 07 Dec 2013 PSV Eindhoven 2–6 Vitesse Arnhem A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 15 Dec 2013 Utrecht 1–5 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 22 Dec 2013 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 ADO Den Haag H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 19 Jan 2014 Ajax 1–0 PSV Eindhoven H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 25 Jan 2014 PSV Eindhoven 1–0 AZ Alkmaar H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 02 Feb 2014 RKC Waalwijk 2–0 PSV Eindhoven H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 05 Feb 2014 SC Cambuur 1–2 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 08 Feb 2014 PSV Eindhoven 3–2 Twente H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 14 Feb 2014 PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Heracles H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 22 Feb 2014 NEC Nijmegen 0–2 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 01 Mar 2014 Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 08 Mar 2014 PSV Eindhoven 1–0 Utrecht H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 15 Mar 2014 Vitesse Arnhem 1–2 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 22 Mar 2014 PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Roda JC Kerkrade H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 29 Mar 2014 PSV Eindhoven 2–3 Groningen A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 05 Apr 2014 SC Heerenveen 3–0 PSV Eindhoven H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 13 Apr 2014 PSV Eindhoven 0–2 Feyenoord A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 27 Apr 2014 PEC Zwolle 1–2 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 03 May 2014 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 NAC Breda H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 10 Aug 2014 Willem II Tilburg 1–3 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 16 Aug 2014 PSV Eindhoven 6–1 NAC Breda H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 24 Aug 2014 Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven A NED · Eredivisie
☆ 25 Aug 2014 PSV Eindhoven 1–0 SKN St. Pölten H ITL · UEFA Europa League Qualifying
☆ 31 Aug 2014 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Vitesse Arnhem H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 09 Sep 2014 SKN St. Pölten 2–3 PSV Eindhoven A ITL · UEFA Europa League Qualifying
☆ 13 Sep 2014 PEC Zwolle 3–1 PSV Eindhoven H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 20 Sep 2014 PSV Eindhoven 1–0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk H ITL · UEFA Europa League Play-off
☆ 21 Sep 2014 PSV Eindhoven 4–0 SC Cambuur H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 25 Sep 2014 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Utrecht H NED · KNVB Cup
☆ 28 Sep 2014 SC Heerenveen 1–0 PSV Eindhoven H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 04 Oct 2014 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0–2 PSV Eindhoven A ITL · UEFA Europa League Play-off
☆ 05 Oct 2014 PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Excelsior Rotterdam H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 18 Oct 2014 PSV Eindhoven 3–0 AZ Alkmaar H NED · Eredivisie
☆ 20 Oct 2014 PSV Eindhoven 1–0 GD Estoril Praia H ITL · UEFA Europa League Group stage
☆ 20 Oct 2014 Dynamo Moscow 1–0 PSV Eindhoven H ITL · UEFA Europa League Group stage
☆ 20 Oct 2014 PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Panathinaikos D ITL · UEFA Europa League Group stage
Run bounded by a coverage gap — the next match on record is more than 140 days away, so no draw ended this run.

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