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P Marsden

2017–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 166
Draws 41
Draw % 24.7% +0.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 166 matches (Aug 2017 – Sep 2026), P Marsden drew 41 where the draw model expected 43.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 43.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 109 24 22.0%
ENG · League Two 41 8 19.5%
ENG · League One 16 9 56.3%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 3 1 33.3%
2025/26 15 2 13.3%
2024/25 17 4 23.5%
2023/24 13 3 23.1%
2022/23 16 4 25.0%
2021/22 18 2 11.1%
2020/21 15 4 26.7%
2019/20 22 7 31.8%
2018/19 26 8 30.8%
2017/18 21 6 28.6%
Latest matches last 50

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