▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

Nigel Miller

2003–2017 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: N Miller
Matches 378
Draws 106
Draw % 28.0% +3.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 378 matches (Aug 2003 – May 2017), Nigel Miller drew 106 where the draw model expected 104.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 103.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 135 35 25.9%
ENG · League One 127 38 29.9%
ENG · League Two 116 33 28.4%
By season 13 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2016/17 32 11 34.4%
2015/16 30 13 43.3%
2014/15 31 13 41.9%
2013/14 20 3 15.0%
2011/12 36 6 16.7%
2010/11 23 7 30.4%
2009/10 29 5 17.2%
2008/09 29 11 37.9%
2007/08 29 7 24.1%
2006/07 30 10 33.3%
2005/06 33 9 27.3%
2004/05 31 3 9.7%
2003/04 25 8 32.0%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy