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Match official

Mike Riley

2000–2009 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: M Riley, M. A. Riley, Riley, M. A.
Matches 245
Draws 65
Draw % 26.5% +2.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 245 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2009), Mike Riley drew 65 where the draw model expected 62.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 63.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 205 59 28.8%
ENG · Championship 27 5 18.5%
ENG · League One 8 0 0.0%
ENG · League Two 5 1 20.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2008/09 25 9 36.0%
2007/08 32 10 31.3%
2006/07 29 7 24.1%
2005/06 30 5 16.7%
2004/05 28 5 17.9%
2003/04 26 6 23.1%
2002/03 24 2 8.3%
2001/02 21 11 52.4%
2000/01 30 10 33.3%
Latest matches last 50

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